Business skeptical of federal health law
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By Jesse Roman
A strange dichotomy emerges when you ask Vermont businesses and insurance companies about the new federal health-care law.What you might expect is not what you get.
Insurers seem to embrace the federal reform — or at least aren’t complaining much about it — while businesses and many individuals, the people whom the law is supposed to help, are confused, frustrated or worse.
“It’s a disappointment among business owners,” says Tom Rugg, an account executive at Hikok & Boardman Group Benefits division in Burlington, which helps 300 or so employers with their employee benefits programs. “Not one of my clients has said, ‘This is great,’ or has even suggested they were glad that this has passed.”
Rugg, a former staff member for U.S. Sen. Jim Jeffords, a Vermont Republican turned independent, thinks the law will do little to reduce costs for employers — in fact, he says the opposite is true.
“For businesses owners, this is not conservative vs. liberal ideology. This is application, this is functionality, this is fiscal impact,” said Robert Gaydos, president of Benefit Group of New England LLC, which represents more than 300 employers. “Business owners have long understood that the state and federal governments place financial and administrative burdens on them. They are resigned to this fact. … They will act slowly, deliberately, cautiously, and with one eye over their shoulder, waiting for the next shoe to drop.”
Most of his clients are not pleased with the legislation, he said, because he predicts that “large employers will only see increased costs and increased responsibility.”
Costs will rise
Insurance companies think premiums will likely rise, at least in the short term, as a result of the law.
“For many health-care consumers, this experience of health-care reform will be increased costs,” Gary Hughes, director of public and community relations at MVP Healthcare, said in an interview. The reason: “Added taxes and fees and mechanisms that will affect the commercial health-care insurance companies,”
An excise taxes on premiums kicks in in 2014, which MVP estimates will add 7 to 8 percent to total premiums. Pharmaceutical companies will start paying an excise tax next year, which may add 2 to 4 percent on premiums. Add that to the typical 8 to 10 percent annual health-care rate increases, and employers may be crushed, Rugg says.
“The government needs those revenue sources” to pay for increased access and subsidies, Rugg says. “But everybody gets that those charges will be passed on to the consumers. That’s the frustration. … There is no cost containment in this law.”
Bill Little, vice president of MVP of Vermont, says as much.
“Many times, insurance companies are what people focus on (when it comes to cost) because what we do appears very tangible,” Little said in an interview. But, he says, much of the problem “tends to be the cost of care, not the insurance carriers. Insurance carriers really just reflect that cost of care.”
Executives at Vermont’s two largest insurers, MVP Healthcare and Blue Cross Blue Shield, both said in interviews that the federal changes will not be huge obstacles for them.
“The impact on insurers like Blue Cross Blue Shield and others in Vermont will be nowhere near as significant as it will be in other parts of the country,” said Kevin Goddard of Blue Cross. “A lot of the insurance reform that is part of the federal law is already in place (in Vermont) and was done as far back as the 1990s.”
Neither MVP nor Blue Cross seemed particularly wary of the law or all that concerned about any of its provisions, beyond higher costs for consumers.
“We are committed to implementing this legislation,” said Hughes of MVP. “We are diligently working on the parts we can … (and) find ourselves in a position now of really analyzing and moving forward at the same time.”
Blue Cross officials “embrace the fact that government regulation and legislation is a very important and significant part of what we do,” Goddard said. “We see ourselves in partnership.”
Asked if anything in the law worries Blue Cross from a business perspective, Goddard couldn’t name anything.
Cost trumps access
There are two pieces to the health-care reform debate: cost and access.
Vermont has long been among the nation’s leaders in access, insuring 93 percent of residents. State health-care costs, while increasing at alarming rates, are still below the national average. According to a 2008 report by the state Department of Banking, Insurance, Securities & Health Care Administration, Vermont residents spend an average of $7,414 per year on health care, below the U.S. average of $7,681. However, the state is catching up. Vermont health-care costs are rising faster than the U.S. average — up 8.2 percent from 2005 to 2008, compared to 5.7 percent nationally. Health care in Vermont in 2008 was 18.1 percent of the state’s gross domestic product, compared to 16.2 percent nationally.
Cost is a huge problem for individuals and employers, who devote more and more resources to premiums, often at the sake of employee wages.
Many believe the federal law addresses only one side of the equation and totally balks on cost containment.
“Access is easy to do politically; give everyone access and worry about the costs later,” Rugg says. “Cost is different. That’s not an easy thing; it upsets hospitals, doctors and insurance companies. There are a lot of players there and you have to look at it really hard.”
But addressing one and not the other is a losing strategy, says Dr. Deborah Richter, a doctor from Montpelier and past president of Physicians for a National Health Program.
“Increasing costs means decreasing access because people can’t afford coverage. We’ve got to get (costs) under control,” she said in an interview. “Subsidies won’t take effect until 2014, and my fear is any subsidies will be outweighed by enormous increases in premiums the next four years.”
For much of the health-reform debate in Washington, increased access was the rallying point. Many people thought that making health care more accessible was going to fix the health-care system — and that’s plain wrong, Gaydos said.
The long debate “was never about pre-existing conditions or community rating — insurance companies already do those things in about half the states,” he said. “This was about building a (fiscal) model that works.”
In that regard, the law “gave some people more health insurance, but it didn’t do much else,” Richter said.
Unintended results
Gaydos sees many flaws in the law.
“The unintended consequences will be vast,” he warns.
The legislation mandates insurance, and penalizes employers and individuals who don’t get it.
However, there is a significant disconnect between incentives and reality.
“Why would a 30-year-old healthy male purchase health insurance for $4,000 annually when the penalty is only $95 annually, and when and if he needs the insurance, it is guaranteed issue, community-rated, and no limitations for pre-existing conditions can be applied?” Gaydos said.
Another flaw he sees involves the penalty on employers and the insurance exchange subsidy structure.
The average U.S. employer pays about $7,000 (about 67%) per employee per year for health insurance costs. The average employee pays $3,500 per year, Gaydos says, citing figures from the Kaiser Family Foundation.
“Effective 2014, an employer with 50-plus employees could drop their health plan and only have to pay $2,000 per employee per year penalty. The math says that they will drop coverage,” he says.
Odds are those workers will go to the new health insurance exchanges, which will be set up by 2014. At the exchanges, premiums will be based on household income. Low-income households ($30,000 or less per year) would pay only 2 to 3 percent of income, or about $1,000 annually — significantly less than current averages.
Average-income households ($66,000 per year) would pay 7 to 8 percent of income, about $5,280 annually — one third higher than employees now pay, on average. Higher-income households ($100,000 and up) would pay 12 percent of income, about $12,000 annually — nearly triple the current employee contribution.
“To make matters even worse, the premiums listed above are based on 2010 premiums, and by 2014, the premiums will be cumulatively increased by over 28 percent,” Gaydos said.
However, he doesn’t believe most employers, at least in Vermont, will be so heartless as to get rid of health insurance and pay the fine.
“Most employers are in fact moral, and strive to be fair to all employees,” he said.